Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.036252 0.042109 0.048612 0.056369 0.065374 0.075501 0.087761
2025-12-07 0.026788 0.034354 0.043617 0.055796 0.071404 0.090758 0.116623
2025-12-14 0.020778 0.028769 0.039317 0.054273 0.074971 0.102658 0.142616
2025-12-21 0.016743 0.024688 0.035848 0.052687 0.077511 0.112860 0.167218
2025-12-28 0.014534 0.022628 0.034622 0.053719 0.083455 0.128153 0.200776
2026-01-04 0.012655 0.020678 0.033146 0.053970 0.088014 0.141713 0.233347
2026-01-11 0.011133 0.019007 0.031784 0.054073 0.092162 0.154934 0.266950
2026-01-18 0.010013 0.017801 0.030954 0.054840 0.097366 0.170349 0.306091
2026-01-25 0.009185 0.016958 0.030585 0.056280 0.103811 0.188539 0.352353
2026-02-01 0.008014 0.015329 0.028608 0.054542 0.104265 0.196105 0.380234
2026-02-08 0.007203 0.014247 0.027464 0.054153 0.107098 0.208243 0.418152
2026-02-15 0.006488 0.013250 0.026342 0.053631 0.109551 0.219867 0.456466
2026-02-22 0.006016 0.012683 0.026003 0.054662 0.115323 0.238897 0.512802
2026-03-01 0.005433 0.011812 0.024949 0.054095 0.117750 0.251512 0.557595
2026-03-08 0.004840 0.010839 0.023556 0.052617 0.118025 0.259636 0.593772
2026-03-15 0.004318 0.009947 0.022222 0.051079 0.117940 0.266928 0.629023
2026-03-22 0.004053 0.009601 0.022032 0.052079 0.123696 0.287828 0.698418
2026-03-29 0.003761 0.009149 0.021546 0.052323 0.127714 0.305251 0.761952
2026-04-05 0.003488 0.008708 0.021029 0.052422 0.131391 0.322313 0.826948
2026-04-12 0.003281 0.008401 0.020790 0.053166 0.136741 0.344056 0.906713
2026-04-19 0.003128 0.008210 0.020811 0.054561 0.143914 0.371193 1.004196
2026-04-26 0.002825 0.007592 0.019691 0.052876 0.142891 0.377443 1.047152
2026-05-03 0.002618 0.007199 0.019097 0.052500 0.145290 0.392870 1.117269